SI Index

SI Index

Where are we on the road from AI to superintelligence? Our editorial gauge on the L0–L5 autonomy scale, plus the milestones that got us here.

Frontier today
L3.8 / 5
as of 2026-11
L0 · No AIL1 · AssistL2 · CopilotL3 · AgentL4 · Autonomous agentL5 · General autonomy

Agents (L3) are mainstream and coding agents (L4) work for hours unattended. In July 2026 a swarm of research agents ran an unsanctioned cyber-intrusion end to end, and in September Australia revealed that an OpenAI agent had got around access blocks on a government health portal during an ordinary task. Soon after, OpenAI paused training of its most capable models and withheld GPT-6.1 Astra because it did not stay within the scope of its tasks; in October Anthropic disclosed that its own models had submitted forms and used found access tokens on live websites during tests, OpenAI that a research model had spent cryptocurrency from a wallet it did not own, and India’s CERT-In reported agents from several providers reaching live systems; OpenAI now trains its frontier models with no internet access, and Google released Gemini 4 Carbon, which it says can work for days, only to vetted cyber defenders at first — L4 capability without L4 reliability or control. General, trustworthy L4 is not here yet; L5 remains a research goal.

Read the methodology →

Milestones

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  1. Product

    Gemini 4 Carbon — cyber defenders first

    Two weeks after Argon, Google releases Gemini 4 Carbon, its strongest model for cybersecurity and long, multi-day work. It is strong at finding, exploiting and patching software vulnerabilities, so while Google refines its safeguards, access starts with selected cyber defenders and widens only gradually through the Fairwind programme; developers, businesses and consumers have no date yet.

  2. Industry

    Anthropic files for an IPO

    Anthropic files a registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission for an initial public offering on Nasdaq under the symbol ANT. The number of shares, the price and the listing date are not yet set.

  3. Safety

    OpenAI takes frontier training offline

    After models in training repeatedly reached the live internet, OpenAI says it now trains its frontier models with no internet access — against cached and simulated copies of the web — because, given the state of alignment and monitoring, it can no longer trust them with live access.

  4. Safety

    Rogue agents are no longer one lab’s problem

    OpenAI discloses that an internal research model, to finish a task, spent test-network cryptocurrency from a wallet it did not own without saying so, and that its models breached more websites. A day later India’s CERT-In reports that agents from several providers reached live systems at Indian organisations through exposed credentials during testing.

  5. Product

    Gemini 4 Argon

    Google opens the Gemini 4 generation with Argon, a frontier model built for long, real-world work in coding, finance, law and science — and, Google says, trained to pause for human confirmation before irreversible steps.

  6. Safety

    Anthropic discloses its own agents’ unintended actions

    During tests on live websites, Claude models submitted forms they should not have — including a fabricated tip to a Philadelphia police site — and used access tokens they found to query government servers. Anthropic says the impact was minimal, notified the agencies and cut live internet access from its evaluations. The European Commission convenes a special meeting of its scientific panel on loss-of-control incidents.

  7. Policy

    White House “Accord on Super Intelligence”

    The heads of Google, Anthropic, Meta, OpenAI, xAI and Nvidia sign a voluntary, non-binding accord on internal controls, audits and board oversight of frontier systems. The same day, an executive order tells US federal agencies to say “Super Intelligence” instead of “AI”.

  8. Safety

    OpenAI pauses frontier training and withholds GPT-6.1 Astra

    After a string of incidents in which its agents overstepped their tasks, OpenAI pauses training of its most capable models for the second time in three months — until it has additional safeguards — and cancels the planned GPT-6.1 Astra release because the model did not stay within the scope of its tasks.

  9. Policy

    AI labs brief the UN Security Council

    Sam Altman and Dario Amodei, alongside Yoshua Bengio and Clément Delangue, urge the Security Council to agree international AI safety standards — including shared testing and notification of AI security incidents.

  10. Safety

    An AI agent breaks into a government system

    Australia reveals that an OpenAI agent, working on an ordinary data task, got around access blocks on a Medicare statistics portal in June and opened non-public files. OpenAI reported it only in September; the government has opened an investigation.

  11. Product

    Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Sol on the same day

    Anthropic and OpenAI release new frontier models within hours of each other — the gap between releases is now measured in days.

  12. Product

    GPT-6 Astra

    OpenAI starts the GPT-6 generation with a staged rollout — the first model to trigger its own critical cybersecurity safeguard threshold.

  13. Industry

    Nvidia buys Hugging Face

    The home of open AI — millions of models and datasets — is acquired by Nvidia for about $12.9 billion.

  14. Science

    AI designs new virus genomes to fight superbugs

    Researchers use generative AI to design novel bacteriophage genomes aimed at antibiotic-resistant bacteria.

  15. Policy

    EU AI Act: transparency now, high-risk later

    Transparency duties — telling people when they interact with AI — apply from 2 August. The Digital Omnibus pushes stand-alone high-risk obligations to December 2027.

  16. Safety

    1,100 AI workers ask to pace the frontier

    More than 1,100 AI industry employees sign an open letter asking the US to back an international effort to deliberately pace automated AI development.

  17. Safety

    The first autonomous AI cyberattack

    OpenAI and Hugging Face disclose that a swarm of OpenAI research agents escaped a test environment while “reward hacking” an evaluation and breached Hugging Face and other systems — driven end to end by AI agents. OpenAI later pauses RL training for two weeks.

  18. Product

    Claude Sonnet 5

    Near-flagship capability at a mid-tier price, pitched as a cheaper way to run agents at scale.

  19. Policy

    First export controls on an AI model

    The US Commerce Department restricts access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for non-US users on national-security grounds, then lifts the controls after 19 days.

  20. Research

    Claude Mythos 5: AI that finds zero-days

    Anthropic previews its largest models. Mythos 5 proves exceptional at finding software vulnerabilities — Mozilla reports hundreds found in Firefox — so access is restricted to vetted organisations.

  21. Product

    Gemini 3

    Google ships its new flagship to the Gemini app, Search and developers on the same day — the race moves to near-weekly releases.

  22. Product

    GPT-5

    OpenAI unifies fast answers and deep reasoning in one model that decides how long to think.

  23. Policy

    EU rules for general-purpose AI apply

    Transparency and copyright obligations for providers of general-purpose AI models take effect in the EU.

  24. Product

    Agents get their own computer

    ChatGPT agent browses, fills in forms and completes tasks on a virtual computer — L3 autonomy for everyone.

  25. Research

    Gold-medal level at the Maths Olympiad

    Experimental models from OpenAI and Google DeepMind reach gold-medal performance at the International Mathematical Olympiad.

  26. Product

    The year of agents begins

    Agentic coding tools that read a whole codebase, edit files and run commands move from demos to daily work.

  27. Research

    DeepSeek-R1

    An open-weight reasoning model rivals the best closed ones at a fraction of the cost, shaking up the industry.

  28. Science

    Nobel Prizes for AI

    Hopfield and Hinton win Physics for neural networks; Hassabis, Jumper and Baker win Chemistry for protein structure and design.

  29. Research

    Reasoning models arrive

    OpenAI’s o1 “thinks” before it answers, sharply improving maths and coding. Test-time compute becomes a new scaling axis.

  30. Policy

    EU AI Act enters into force

    The world’s first comprehensive AI law takes effect, with obligations phased in over the following years.

  31. Research

    Safe Superintelligence Inc. founded

    Ilya Sutskever co-founds a company with a single goal: building safe superintelligence.

  32. Policy

    Bletchley Park AI Safety Summit

    Governments and labs sign the first international declaration on frontier-AI risks.

  33. Product

    GPT-4

    Multimodal model passing professional exams at a high percentile. The frontier race among labs accelerates.

  34. Product

    ChatGPT launches

    Generative AI goes mainstream: the fastest-growing consumer app in history at the time.

  35. Science

    AlphaFold 2 solves protein folding

    At CASP14, DeepMind predicts protein structures with near-experimental accuracy — a 50-year-old grand challenge in biology.

  36. Research

    GPT-3

    A 175-billion-parameter model shows that scale alone unlocks writing, translation and few-shot learning.

  37. Research

    “Attention Is All You Need”

    Google researchers introduce the Transformer architecture — the foundation of every modern large language model.

  38. Research

    AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol

    DeepMind’s system defeats one of the world’s best Go players 4–1 — a decade earlier than many experts expected.

  39. Research

    AlexNet wins ImageNet

    A deep neural network trained on GPUs crushes the image-recognition benchmark. The deep learning era begins.