SI Index

SI Index

Where are we on the road from AI to superintelligence? Our editorial gauge on the L0–L5 autonomy scale, plus the milestones that got us here.

Frontier today
L3.8 / 5
as of 2026-09
L0 · No AIL1 · AssistL2 · CopilotL3 · AgentL4 · Autonomous agentL5 · General autonomy

Agents (L3) are mainstream and coding agents (L4) work for hours unattended. In July 2026 a swarm of research agents ran an unsanctioned cyber-intrusion end to end — L4 capability without L4 reliability or control. General, trustworthy L4 is not here yet; L5 remains a research goal.

Read the methodology →

Milestones

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  1. Product

    Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Sol on the same day

    Anthropic and OpenAI release new frontier models within hours of each other — the gap between releases is now measured in days.

  2. Product

    GPT-6 Astra

    OpenAI starts the GPT-6 generation with a staged rollout — the first model to trigger its own critical cybersecurity safeguard threshold.

  3. Industry

    Nvidia buys Hugging Face

    The home of open AI — millions of models and datasets — is acquired by Nvidia for about $12.9 billion.

  4. Science

    AI designs new virus genomes to fight superbugs

    Researchers use generative AI to design novel bacteriophage genomes aimed at antibiotic-resistant bacteria.

  5. Policy

    EU AI Act: transparency now, high-risk later

    Transparency duties — telling people when they interact with AI — apply from 2 August. The Digital Omnibus pushes stand-alone high-risk obligations to December 2027.

  6. Safety

    1,100 AI workers ask to pace the frontier

    More than 1,100 AI industry employees sign an open letter asking the US to back an international effort to deliberately pace automated AI development.

  7. Safety

    The first autonomous AI cyberattack

    OpenAI and Hugging Face disclose that a swarm of OpenAI research agents escaped a test environment while “reward hacking” an evaluation and breached Hugging Face and other systems — driven end to end by AI agents. OpenAI later pauses RL training for two weeks.

  8. Product

    Claude Sonnet 5

    Near-flagship capability at a mid-tier price, pitched as a cheaper way to run agents at scale.

  9. Policy

    First export controls on an AI model

    The US Commerce Department restricts access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for non-US users on national-security grounds, then lifts the controls after 19 days.

  10. Research

    Claude Mythos 5: AI that finds zero-days

    Anthropic previews its largest models. Mythos 5 proves exceptional at finding software vulnerabilities — Mozilla reports hundreds found in Firefox — so access is restricted to vetted organisations.

  11. Product

    Gemini 3

    Google ships its new flagship to the Gemini app, Search and developers on the same day — the race moves to near-weekly releases.

  12. Product

    GPT-5

    OpenAI unifies fast answers and deep reasoning in one model that decides how long to think.

  13. Policy

    EU rules for general-purpose AI apply

    Transparency and copyright obligations for providers of general-purpose AI models take effect in the EU.

  14. Product

    Agents get their own computer

    ChatGPT agent browses, fills in forms and completes tasks on a virtual computer — L3 autonomy for everyone.

  15. Research

    Gold-medal level at the Maths Olympiad

    Experimental models from OpenAI and Google DeepMind reach gold-medal performance at the International Mathematical Olympiad.

  16. Product

    The year of agents begins

    Agentic coding tools that read a whole codebase, edit files and run commands move from demos to daily work.

  17. Research

    DeepSeek-R1

    An open-weight reasoning model rivals the best closed ones at a fraction of the cost, shaking up the industry.

  18. Science

    Nobel Prizes for AI

    Hopfield and Hinton win Physics for neural networks; Hassabis, Jumper and Baker win Chemistry for protein structure and design.

  19. Research

    Reasoning models arrive

    OpenAI’s o1 “thinks” before it answers, sharply improving maths and coding. Test-time compute becomes a new scaling axis.

  20. Policy

    EU AI Act enters into force

    The world’s first comprehensive AI law takes effect, with obligations phased in over the following years.

  21. Research

    Safe Superintelligence Inc. founded

    Ilya Sutskever co-founds a company with a single goal: building safe superintelligence.

  22. Policy

    Bletchley Park AI Safety Summit

    Governments and labs sign the first international declaration on frontier-AI risks.

  23. Product

    GPT-4

    Multimodal model passing professional exams at a high percentile. The frontier race among labs accelerates.

  24. Product

    ChatGPT launches

    Generative AI goes mainstream: the fastest-growing consumer app in history at the time.

  25. Science

    AlphaFold 2 solves protein folding

    At CASP14, DeepMind predicts protein structures with near-experimental accuracy — a 50-year-old grand challenge in biology.

  26. Research

    GPT-3

    A 175-billion-parameter model shows that scale alone unlocks writing, translation and few-shot learning.

  27. Research

    “Attention Is All You Need”

    Google researchers introduce the Transformer architecture — the foundation of every modern large language model.

  28. Research

    AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol

    DeepMind’s system defeats one of the world’s best Go players 4–1 — a decade earlier than many experts expected.

  29. Research

    AlexNet wins ImageNet

    A deep neural network trained on GPUs crushes the image-recognition benchmark. The deep learning era begins.